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Performance of Conformal Prediction in Capturing Aleatoric Uncertainty

arXiv:2509.05826v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conformal prediction is a model-agnostic approach to generating prediction sets that cover the true class with a high probability. Although its prediction set size is expected to capture aleatoric uncertainty, there is a lack of…

Bootstrap Off-policy with World Model

arXiv:2511.00423v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Online planning has proven effective in reinforcement learning (RL) for improving sample efficiency and final performance. However, using planning for environment interaction inevitably introduces a divergence between the collected data and the policy’s actual behaviors,…

Predicting Talent Breakout Rate using Twitter and TV data

arXiv:2511.16905v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Early detection of rising talents is of paramount importance in the field of advertising. In this paper, we define a concept of talent breakout and propose a method to detect Japanese talents before their rise…