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From Data Lifting to Continuous Risk Estimation: A Process-Aware Pipeline for Predictive Monitoring of Clinical Pathways
arXiv:2605.03895v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This paper presents a reproducible and process-aware pipeline for predictive monitoring of clinical pathways. The approach integrates data lifting, temporal reconstruction, event log construction, prefix-based representations, and predictive modeling to support continuous reasoning on partially…
Shapley Value Approximation Based on k-Additive Games
arXiv:2502.04763v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The Shapley value is the prevalent solution for fair division problems in which a payout is to be divided among multiple agents. By adopting a game-theoretic view, the idea of fair division and the Shapley…
Probabilistic Modeling of Latent Agentic Substructures in Deep Neural Networks
arXiv:2509.06701v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We develop a theory of intelligent agency grounded in probabilistic modeling for neural models. Agents are represented as outcome distributions with epistemic utility given by log score, and compositions are defined through weighted logarithmic pooling…
The Offline-Frontier Shift: Diagnosing Distributional Limits in Generative Multi-Objective Optimization
arXiv:2602.11126v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Offline multi-objective optimization (MOO) aims to recover Pareto-optimal designs given a finite, static dataset. Recent generative approaches, including diffusion models, show strong performance under hypervolume, yet their behavior under other established MOO metrics is less…
Keeping Score: Efficiency Improvements in Neural Likelihood Surrogate Training via Score-Augmented Loss Functions
arXiv:2605.12118v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: For stochastic process models, parameter inference is often severely bottlenecked by computationally expensive likelihood functions. Simulation-based inference (SBI) bypasses this restriction by constructing amortized surrogate likelihoods, but most SBI methods assume a black-box data generating…