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Identification of Probabilities of Causation: from Recursive to Closed-Form Bounds

arXiv:2505.15274v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Probabilities of causation (PoCs) are fundamental quantities for counterfactual analysis and personalized decision making. However, existing analytical results are largely confined to binary settings. This paper extends PoCs to multi-valued treatments and outcomes by deriving…

Operationalizing Cyber Threat Intelligence with GraphRAG

arXiv:2608.13050v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: When a security researcher publishes a report on a cyberattack, detection engineers are supposed to turn it into working detection rules. In practice, most automated attempts at this only extract the simplest clues from the…

Into the ORBIT for Time Series: Training Regimes for Foundation Models

arXiv:2608.13262v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have advanced primarily through architectural innovation, while training regimes for large-scale heterogeneous corpora remain under-explored. As a result, pre-training distributions are often poorly controlled with respect to domain imbalance, context…

MindMemOS: A Portable and Self-Evolving Memory Operating Layer for AI Agents

arXiv:2608.12428v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Memory is a core component of AI agents, enabling them to accumulate experience, maintain personalization, and adapt over long-term interactions. However, existing memory systems often remain fixed after development, limiting their ability to adapt their…