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Beyond Accuracy: A Stability-Aware Metric for Multi-Horizon Forecasting

arXiv:2601.10863v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Traditional time series forecasting methods optimize for accuracy alone. This objective neglects temporal consistency, in other words, how consistently a model predicts the same future event as the forecast origin changes. We introduce the forecast…

Beyond Accuracy: A Stability-Aware Metric for Multi-Horizon Forecasting

arXiv:2601.10863v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Traditional time series forecasting methods optimize for accuracy alone. This objective neglects temporal consistency, in other words, how consistently a model predicts the same future event as the forecast origin changes. We introduce the forecast…