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Efficient and Principled Scientific Discovery through Bayesian Optimization: A Tutorial

arXiv:2604.01328v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Traditional scientific discovery relies on an iterative hypothesise-experiment-refine cycle that has driven progress for centuries, but its intuitive, ad-hoc implementation often wastes resources, yields inefficient designs, and misses critical insights. This tutorial presents Bayesian Optimisation…

Risk-Aware Linear Bandits: Theory and Applications in Smart Order Routing

arXiv:2208.02389v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Motivated by practical considerations in machine learning for financial decision-making, such as risk aversion and large action space, we consider risk-aware bandits optimization with applications in smart order routing (SOR). Specifically, based on preliminary observations…

Forecasting Supply Chain Disruptions with Foresight Learning

arXiv:2604.01298v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Anticipating supply chain disruptions before they materialize is a core challenge for firms and policymakers alike. A key difficulty is learning to reason reliably about infrequent, high-impact events from noisy and unstructured inputs – a…

Coarsening Causal DAG Models

arXiv:2601.10531v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Directed acyclic graphical (DAG) models are a powerful tool for representing causal relationships among jointly distributed random variables, especially concerning data from across different experimental settings. However, it is not always practical or desirable to…

Model Merging via Data-Free Covariance Estimation

arXiv:2604.01329v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Model merging provides a way of cheaply combining individual models to produce a model that inherits each individual’s capabilities. While some merging methods can approach the performance of multitask training, they are often heuristically motivated…