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Forecasting Supply Chain Disruptions with Foresight Learning

arXiv:2604.01298v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Anticipating supply chain disruptions before they materialize is a core challenge for firms and policymakers alike. A key difficulty is learning to reason reliably about infrequent, high-impact events from noisy and unstructured inputs – a…

Coarsening Causal DAG Models

arXiv:2601.10531v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Directed acyclic graphical (DAG) models are a powerful tool for representing causal relationships among jointly distributed random variables, especially concerning data from across different experimental settings. However, it is not always practical or desirable to…

Model Merging via Data-Free Covariance Estimation

arXiv:2604.01329v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Model merging provides a way of cheaply combining individual models to produce a model that inherits each individual’s capabilities. While some merging methods can approach the performance of multitask training, they are often heuristically motivated…

SECURE: Stable Early Collision Understanding via Robust Embeddings in Autonomous Driving

arXiv:2604.01337v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While deep learning has significantly advanced accident anticipation, the robustness of these safety-critical systems against real-world perturbations remains a major challenge. We reveal that state-of-the-art models like CRASH, despite their high performance, exhibit significant instability…

Causal K-Means Clustering

arXiv:2405.03083v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Causal effects are often characterized with population summaries. These might provide an incomplete picture when there are heterogeneous treatment effects across subgroups. Since the subgroup structure is typically unknown, it is more challenging to identify…